Narre Warren East crime rate and Crime Score · Victoria
Narre Warren East is a suburb in the Casey council area of Victoria (about 414,929 residents in the council). The council has a Crime Score 51 out of 100 (moderate), 166th of 362 councils nationally.
Modelled estimate, not police figures: Narre Warren East (434 residents at the 2021 Census) is estimated to account for about 27 of the offences recorded each year in the Casey council area (likely 10 to 48), roughly 6,100 per 100,000 residents, including about 2 violent offences (likely 1 to 4). Ranges are 80% intervals; confidence 26 of 100. The estimate shares the council's published total (2025-26, three-year average) between its suburbs using a model trained on South Australia's suburb-level police data and ABS measures of each suburb's population and socio-economic profile.
The score blends national percentile ranks for each published offence category with fixed severity weights; here it is driven most by robbery (90th percentile), homicide (65th percentile), assault (34th percentile). Five years earlier the same basis gave 48.
In 2024-25: violent 1,062 per 100,000 (+24% vs five years earlier); property 4,151 per 100,000 (+15% vs five years earlier); break-ins 537 per 100,000 (+26% vs five years earlier); theft 2,244 per 100,000 (+15% vs five years earlier). For violent crime that is 35th of 79 Victoria councils with data, highest first.
Unemployment in the Casey council area is 5.7% (Victoria 5%), Census, 10 August 2021. Social housing makes up 1.4% of occupied homes (1,376 public and 218 community-housing dwellings at the 2021 Census; Victoria 2.5%). An estimated 1,864 people were homeless on Census night 2021, 49.2 per 10,000 residents (Victoria 47.1), apportioned from ABS Statistical Area Level 2 counts. 44% of residents were born overseas (Victoria 31.6%), most often in India, Sri Lanka, Afghanistan. Modelled estimates for 2026-27, not measurements: unemployment about 6.4% (confidence 85 of 100); social housing about 1.3% of homes; about 48.4 homeless people per 10,000 residents; about 44.7% born overseas. Confidence falls with distance from the last published figure, and the map's Estimates toggle shows every year back to 1994-95.
Victoria publishes crime statistics by council area, not by suburb, so the figures shown for Narre Warren East are those of the Casey council area.
Figures are for 2024-25, the latest year Victoria has published; some other states have released 2025-26.
| Offences | Per 100,000 | Count | 5-yr change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Violent | 1,062 | 4,407 | +24% |
| Property | 4,151 | 17,223 | +15% |
| Break-ins | 537 | 2,230 | +26% |
| Theft | 2,244 | 9,309 | +15% |
How suburb estimates are made, and how accurate they are.
Casey council area: full statistics · Interactive map of every council.
Crime in postcode 3804: every suburb and council it covers.
Questions
Is Narre Warren East safe?
Victoria publishes crime figures by council area, not by suburb. Narre Warren East is in the Casey council area, which recorded 1,060 violent offences per 100,000 residents in 2024-25, close to the Victoria rate (1,060) and about 13% lower than the national rate (1,220). A modelled estimate for Narre Warren East itself is roughly 6,100 offences of all kinds per 100,000 residents a year (an estimate, not police figures). These are offences recorded by police per resident: they describe the area as a whole, not the risk on any particular street, and places with a busy centre record more because offences are counted where they happen.
Police news near Narre Warren East
- Two teens stabbed in Cranbourne · Cranbourne, 7 Sept 2026 · 18 km away
Nearby suburbs
Berwick · Blind Bight · Botanic Ridge · Cannons Creek · Cardinia · Clyde · Clyde North · Cranbourne · Cranbourne East · Cranbourne North · Cranbourne South · Devon Meadows · Doveton · Endeavour Hills · Eumemmerring · Hallam · Hampton Park · Harkaway · Junction Village · Lynbrook · Lyndhurst · Narre Warren · Narre Warren North · Narre Warren South · Sandhurst · Skye · Tooradin · Warneet
australiancrimerate.com.au/suburb/vic/narre-warren-east/ · Australian Crime Map