Horseshoe Lagoon crime rate and Crime Score · Queensland
Horseshoe Lagoon is a suburb in the Burdekin council area of Queensland (about 17,220 residents in the council). The council has a Crime Score 60 out of 100 (high), 124th of 362 councils nationally.
Modelled estimate, not police figures: Horseshoe Lagoon (213 residents at the 2021 Census) is estimated to account for about 25 of the offences recorded each year in the Burdekin council area (likely 9 to 45), roughly 12,000 per 100,000 residents, including about 2 violent offences (likely 1 to 4). Ranges are 80% intervals; confidence 26 of 100. The estimate shares the council's published total (2025-26, three-year average) between its suburbs using a model trained on South Australia's suburb-level police data and ABS measures of each suburb's population and socio-economic profile.
The score blends national percentile ranks for each published offence category with fixed severity weights; here it is driven most by assault (68th percentile), break-ins (83rd percentile), homicide (56th percentile). Five years earlier the same basis gave 62.
In 2025-26: violent 1,260 per 100,000 (+42% vs five years earlier); property 3,310 per 100,000 (+9% vs five years earlier); break-ins 738 per 100,000 (+2% vs five years earlier); theft 1,278 per 100,000 (+8% vs five years earlier). For violent crime that is 58th of 78 Queensland councils with data, highest first.
Unemployment in the Burdekin council area is 3.4% (Queensland 5.4%), Census, 10 August 2021. Social housing makes up 2.4% of occupied homes (106 public and 47 community-housing dwellings at the 2021 Census; Queensland 3.3%). An estimated 78 people were homeless on Census night 2021, 46.3 per 10,000 residents (Queensland 43.5), apportioned from ABS Statistical Area Level 2 counts. 9.9% of residents were born overseas (Queensland 24.1%), most often in Italy, England, New Zealand. Modelled estimates for 2026-27, not measurements: unemployment about 3.2% (confidence 78 of 100); social housing about 2.2% of homes; about 45.5 homeless people per 10,000 residents; about 10.1% born overseas. Confidence falls with distance from the last published figure, and the map's Estimates toggle shows every year back to 1994-95.
Queensland publishes crime statistics by council area, not by suburb, so the figures shown for Horseshoe Lagoon are those of the Burdekin council area.
| Offences | Per 100,000 | Count | 5-yr change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Violent | 1,260 | 217 | +42% |
| Property | 3,310 | 570 | +9% |
| Break-ins | 738 | 127 | +2% |
| Theft | 1,278 | 220 | +8% |
How suburb estimates are made, and how accurate they are.
Burdekin council area: full statistics · Interactive map of every council.
Crime in postcode 4809: every suburb and council it covers.
Questions
Is Horseshoe Lagoon safe?
Queensland publishes crime figures by council area, not by suburb. Horseshoe Lagoon is in the Burdekin council area, which recorded 1,260 violent offences per 100,000 residents in 2025-26, about 9% lower than the Queensland rate (1,380) and close to the national rate (1,280). A modelled estimate for Horseshoe Lagoon itself is roughly 12,000 offences of all kinds per 100,000 residents a year (an estimate, not police figures). These are offences recorded by police per resident: they describe the area as a whole, not the risk on any particular street, and places with a busy centre record more because offences are counted where they happen.
Nearby suburbs
Airdmillan · Ayr · Barratta · Brandon · Carstairs · Clare · Colevale · Cromarty · Dalbeg · Eight Mile Creek · Fredericksfield · Giru · Home Hill · Inkerman · Jarvisfield · Jerona · Kirknie · Mcdesme · Millaroo · Mount Kelly · Mount Surround · Osborne · Rangemore · Shirbourne · Swans Lagoon · Upper Haughton · Wangaratta · Wunjunga
australiancrimerate.com.au/suburb/qld/horseshoe-lagoon/ · Australian Crime Map