Bray Park crime rate and Crime Score · Queensland

Bray Park is a suburb in the Moreton Bay council area of Queensland (about 532,445 residents in the council). The council has a Crime Score 48 out of 100 (moderate), 186th of 362 councils nationally.

Modelled estimate, not police figures: Bray Park (10,271 residents at the 2021 Census) is estimated to account for about 830 of the offences recorded each year in the Moreton Bay council area (likely 410 to 1,370), roughly 8,100 per 100,000 residents, including about 100 violent offences (likely 62 to 140). Ranges are 80% intervals; confidence 44 of 100. The estimate shares the council's published total (2025-26, three-year average) between its suburbs using a model trained on South Australia's suburb-level police data and ABS measures of each suburb's population and socio-economic profile.

The score blends national percentile ranks for each published offence category with fixed severity weights; here it is driven most by robbery (72nd percentile), assault (39th percentile), homicide (55th percentile). Five years earlier the same basis gave 53.

In 2025-26: violent 937 per 100,000 (+40% vs five years earlier); property 3,791 per 100,000 (+8% vs five years earlier); break-ins 359 per 100,000 (-26% vs five years earlier); theft 2,353 per 100,000 (+27% vs five years earlier). For violent crime that is 70th of 78 Queensland councils with data, highest first.

Unemployment in the Moreton Bay council area is 5.6% (Queensland 5.4%), Census, 10 August 2021. Social housing makes up 2.8% of occupied homes (4,013 public and 724 community-housing dwellings at the 2021 Census; Queensland 3.3%). An estimated 1,441 people were homeless on Census night 2021, 29.1 per 10,000 residents (Queensland 43.5), apportioned from ABS Statistical Area Level 2 counts. 21.9% of residents were born overseas (Queensland 24.1%), most often in New Zealand, England, South Africa. Modelled estimates for 2026-27, not measurements: unemployment about 5.3% (confidence 86 of 100); social housing about 2.5% of homes; about 28.6 homeless people per 10,000 residents; about 22.3% born overseas. Confidence falls with distance from the last published figure, and the map's Estimates toggle shows every year back to 1994-95.

Queensland publishes crime statistics by council area, not by suburb, so the figures shown for Bray Park are those of the Moreton Bay council area.

OffencesPer 100,000Count5-yr change
Violent9374,991+40%
Property3,79120,185+8%
Break-ins3591,911-26%
Theft2,35312,531+27%

How suburb estimates are made, and how accurate they are.

Moreton Bay council area: full statistics · Interactive map of every council.

Crime in postcode 4500: every suburb and council it covers.

Questions

Is Bray Park safe?

Queensland publishes crime figures by council area, not by suburb. Bray Park is in the Moreton Bay council area, which recorded 937 violent offences per 100,000 residents in 2025-26, about 32% lower than the Queensland rate (1,380) and about 27% lower than the national rate (1,280). A modelled estimate for Bray Park itself is roughly 8,100 offences of all kinds per 100,000 residents a year (an estimate, not police figures). These are offences recorded by police per resident: they describe the area as a whole, not the risk on any particular street, and places with a busy centre record more because offences are counted where they happen.

Police news near Bray Park

Nearby suburbs

Albany Creek · Armstrong Creek · Brendale · Bridgeman Downs · Bunya · Cashmere · Cedar Creek · Clear Mountain · Closeburn · Dakabin · Eatons Hill · Ferny Grove · Ferny Hills · Griffin · Highvale · Jollys Lookout · Joyner · Kallangur · Kobble Creek · Kurwongbah · Lawnton · Murrumba Downs · Petrie · Samford Valley · Samford Village · Samsonvale · Strathpine · Upper Kedron · Warner · Whiteside

australiancrimerate.com.au/suburb/qld/bray-park/ · Australian Crime Map